Posts on Russia
I wrote a number of posts on Forbes about Russia at the back end of 2014. At the time, there was a lot going on with the currency, the central bank and the banks. So for ease of reference, I've collected them here, in chronological order.
Why the Russian Central Bank can't defend the ruble
Has the Russian Central Bank thrown in the towel?
The Russian Central Bank is regaining control, but for how long?
Oil, sanctions and Russian politics
How to destroy a currency, Russian style
Russia and the banks
How OPEC destroyed the Russian ruble
Russian ruble: Let it fall, let it fall, let it fall
The Great Russian Bank Bailout
Why does Venezuela think Russia is its friend?
No doubt there will be more in due course. Russia and its problems are not going away any time soon.
Why the Russian Central Bank can't defend the ruble
Has the Russian Central Bank thrown in the towel?
The Russian Central Bank is regaining control, but for how long?
Oil, sanctions and Russian politics
How to destroy a currency, Russian style
Russia and the banks
How OPEC destroyed the Russian ruble
Russian ruble: Let it fall, let it fall, let it fall
The Great Russian Bank Bailout
Why does Venezuela think Russia is its friend?
No doubt there will be more in due course. Russia and its problems are not going away any time soon.
http://www.3spoken.co.uk/2014/12/russian-roulette.html?m=1
ReplyDeleteNeil Wilson's view.
Good grief. Why not just introduce martial law.
DeleteTwenty quid on Russia to win, not place.....
ReplyDeleteUK's war against Russia has resulted it in importing vast amounts of North American (79% of total) wood pellets rather then a slightly less amount of Russian coal.
ReplyDeleteWhy not restart the deep mines if you want to effectively wage a nationalistic war ?
Oh yes the UK is global banking central and it must therefore defend the carbon tax scheme to the hilt
As a consequence we will see a further dramatic fall in UK standard of living.
Not a fan of Peter the Greats style of capitalism but the UK is the usury pits.
In fights between bears and lions or tigers (organised by the Romans), the bear inevitably won in about 10 seconds flat, smashing the skulls of the attacking cats.
ReplyDeleteSomething to think about.
I'm not aware of any recorded fight between a bear and a bald headed eagle, but I have a guess as to the result.
If we had looked at the Russian Balance of Payments you would have realized that the Bank of Russia is in total control of the situation.
ReplyDeleteThe trade surplus hovers around 33bln.$ per quarter since 2013. Sure the export volume has fallen by half, but so have imports. One should not underestimate the heeling effects of inflation on excessive consumer spending.
http://www.cbr.ru/eng/statistics/?Prtid=svs
Looking at interest rates, we see that the BoR is already able to reduce interest rates far under the 15% inflation, it lowered rates from 18% in Dec2014 slowly to 12%.
http://www.cbr.ru/Eng/DKP/print.aspx?file=standart_system/rates_table_15_e.htm&pid=dkp&sid=ITM_7116